The Arab uprising by James
Gelvin, is the most current book on the Middle East and its recent
revolutions encountered, starting in 2010. This book provides insight
in the various events that played a role in the uprisings. Providing
you with historical history on the cultures and their political
monarchy developments, Gelvin provides great insight into the
understanding and development of these; what can be looked at as,
unique uprisings. The term unique is used in reference to some of the
influences; such as social media, and their unique effect on the
uprising in reference to time.
There
are many monarchies in the Arab world. Past scholars have stated
there are three factors that contribute to the many monarchies. The
first, tradition, second, religion, and third, tribalism. Gelvin,
disagrees with this because none of the factors holds up under
scrutiny. Looking at Morocco in relation to the king, Gelvin explains
his reasoning more (121). The reason so many monarchies survived and
endured in the Arab world is due their evolution in the shadows of
European and American dominance when the acquisition of taking
territory by force violated international norms(125). Oil has also
been a key in the stability of the monarchies. Many rely on oil as
their revenue and it accounts for up to 90% of it in areas like Suadi
Arabia, Kuwait, and Abu Dhabi. Although, many believe oil helps with
stability, some say it actually contributes to the disaffection with
governments(127). The distributing of wealth from oil is not fair and
has caused demonstrations in areas such Kuwait. Gelvin explains, all
these various factors are reasons for the stability of many
monarchies in the Arab world.
The
author explains the spark of the beginning of the Arab uprisings
resulted from the successful suicide attempt by Muhammad Bouazizi,
who burned himself in front of the local government building after
being humiliated by a policewoman on December 17,2010 in a rural town
of Tunisia. The next day fellow venders and others, lined up in front
of the local municipal building protesting their anger. Many video
taped the demonstration and posted it to Facebook. The government
tried to gain control by cutting the Internet connection; technology
used in Iran, but failed as citizens directly uploaded images to the
satellite TV channel. The author explains “the Tunisian uprising
was the first in a series of events that swept through the Arab
world.” Over five uprisings occurred in Arab states. Tunisia,
Egypt, Yemen,Libya, and Syria where among those states and are
discussed in detail. One point in particular the author focuses on is
how no one predicted the uprisings, yet no one could have done so due
to unforeseen events and social factors not accounted for. Although,
social networking sites such as Facebook and Twitter are said to be
the cause of these uprisings, the author makes it clear they are not.
Yet instead, they where forms of instant open communication which
allowed people to come together in ways that have not been available
before in revolutions. Thus having an effect on the timeline of
events taken place.
Gelvin,
explains the major factors that caused the uprisings. He explains
that the human element is the key variable in the uprisings taken
place in the Arab world; not demographic challenges, food crisis, or
any other. He explains this by criticizing social scientist theories
for revolutions and their causes. Gelvin says, they claim “uprisings
take place when a sudden reversal disrupts a period of improving
economic conditions, thereby frustrating popular expectations.”(25)
His argument to this is, “these theories do not explain the
countless times in which conditions for an uprising are met but no
uprising occurs.”(25) Gelvin, explains unforeseen factors such as;
the departure of the Egypt and Tunisia presidents, troops firing on
peaceful protesters in Bahrain, and the arrest and torture of school
children in Syria, gave fire to a spark no had anticipated (26).
Gelvin,
explains that the Tunisia and Egypt uprising shared common
characteristics. These characteristics consisted of Tunisia and Egypt
both being homogenous in its society. Both states also faced a divide
between the rich and poor from neoliberal policies. This created
tension that was seen during the uprisings. They also share a history
of a state building that has left a legacy of autocratic rule in both
states, fostering identities that hold a sense of solidarity. The
regimes created from the Tunisia and Egypt uprisings had a great deal
of influence on these social factors. The Tunisian uprising left a
powerful lasting mark on others, finding similar forms of revolt such
as suicide-by-fire, and the use of social media. Gelvin also points
out how the Egyptian uprising closely resembled the Tunisian in its
rapid spread from leaderlessness, and its nonreligious and largely
nonviolent orientation.
Gelvin
notes the importance of earlier protest movement in Egypt on the 2011
uprising. “They made political, not just economic demands; they
gave organizers tactical experience, and they generated organizations
that participated in the uprising.” Three clusters of protest are
important to remember. The first consist of two events that happened
outside of Egypt. The first in 2000, when citizens took the street in
support of the second Palestinian uprising (intifada)
against the Israeli occupation in the West Bank. The second in 2003
when the US invaded and occupied Iraq (48). The second cluster was in
2004, where the group Kefaya was founded. Although, Kefaya faded
years before the uprisings, demands of his where still in demand and
a youth from the Kefaya's youth movement was a founder of the April 6
Movement; which had a key role in the organization of the January
2011 protest (48). The third cluster in 2005, came from the result of
judges refusal to certify the results of the 2005 parliamentary
elections(49).
The
debate of the importance of social media on the Arab uprisings is of
great debate. As expressed earlier, the author believes it was an
important factor but not the cause, as some state. The opportunity
created from these social media sites; Facebook and Twitter,
consisted of the ability to allow individuals; from all across the
world, to come together and communicate instantly. It was noted
between 2008 and 2010, Facebook membership increased in the broader
Middle East 360% to 3.5 million(51). Gelvin explains social media
performed two functions in the uprisings: they facilitate
communication among the participants and would-be participants who
elected to take part in their protest, and they broadened the range
of tactical options to those participants(52).
Both
Tunisians and Egyptians experienced and will continue to experience
change from the uprisings. Some of the changes noted today, that
occurred from the Tunisia uprising; was the sentencing of the former
president and his wife to terms of thirty-five years for theft and
the economy's continuous suffering; which resulted in many fleeing to
the Italian island of Lampedusa. Egypt's changes faced from the
uprising where the military's stability to reform. The military
resulted in violence to attempt to scare other protesters from
participating in any activity that was considered “disturbing the
peace.(64)” It can be noted that both the Egyptian and Tunisian
uprising brought down an autocrat, but it is to early to determine if
it will bring down an autocracy. These two uprisings succeed in
dislodging autocrats because the army acted as a unit, declared its
commitment to nonviolence, and in some cases even kept protestors and
the thugs hired to attack them separated(84).
Yemen
and Libya's uprisings can be looked at to occur differently. Unlike
Tunisia and Egypt, Yemen and Libya are considered weak states due to
them lacking a functioning government and bureaucracy that rules over
the entirety of the territory, and a national identity (73). This
explains why Yemen and Libya's uprisings did not take place as so
Tunisia and Egypt's. Gelvin explains the factors, that contributed to
Yemen and Libya state weakness,
and their importance in understanding the uprisings that occurred
there. The four factors that contributed to their weak states where:
geography, history, choices made by leaders, and oil. Gelvin express,
due to Yemen and Libya not having unified military with a functioning
chain of command and its institutions being weak, these uprisings
will lead to true revolutionary change.
Two
protest movement occurred at the time of the uprisings. “One
fostered the uprising, the other had a checkered history of it. (78)”
The first leaving a history was at the end of January 2011, when the
JMP began protesting in Yemen's capital, Sana. The revolution lasted
shortly, resulting on February 11th, students, youth
activist, and others gathering outside Sana University. They marched
to the city's main square where they were forced out by officials.
After being forced, the University protesters set up camp in the
square outside, later called Tahrir Square becoming the epicenter of
rebellion in Sana. By the end of March, through series of violent
attacks from both military and protestors, Sana was a city divided
between military units and armed supporters of the regime and
military units and armed supporters opposed to it.
Libya's
uprising occurred with the help of social media. The National
Conference for the Libyan Opposition, called for the participation in
their own “Day of Rage,” like Egypt and Tunisia, to protest both
political and economic conditions. The date chosen was February
17,2011 a anniversary of a previous demonstration held to protest an
Italian minister. Unfortunately, events took place on February 15th
that kept that day from happening. Fathi Terbil, a lawyer
representing families of the “disappeared” prisoners of Abu Salim
prison. Several hundred family members and supporters gathered at the
headquarters of a local Revolutionary Committee in Benghazi to
protest their disapproval and overthrow of the regime. As other
regimes, violence was used against protesters. Rather than quashing
the violence, the military and a variety of other armed groups
divided into loyalist and opposition camps (84).This is because the
weakness of the two states and the fragmentation of the army, the
institution that imposed order in Tunisia and Egypt, defined the
tactics protesters had at their disposal.
Due to
Libya's interest from Europe and the United States, powers where used
to intervene in these uprisings. The United States interest was due
to Yemen's vital partnership in the battle against terrorism since
2000. Europe’s interest was due to oil and immigration. Due to
these interest Libya faces instability.
Gelvin
discusses how authors believed Algeria would be next for a uprising
and Syria would not be effected. Algeria was believed to be effected
due to its vulnerability in the historical role of trendsetters for
the Arab world. Although an uprising was attempted, observers suggest
the failure was due to the inseparability of the military from the
regime; the reluctance on the part of Algerians to revisit the
horrors of the civil war; Algeria's two decade long hemorrhaging of
young professionals; divisions within the protest movement, lack of
support from labor, and roles of slum dwellers(99).
As
mentioned early, Syria was not expected to be effected by its
partners uprisings, let alone experience one. Gelvin explains, that
the beginning of the uprising in Syria resembled that of Libya(103).
Both, Syria and Libya uprisings broke out in province areas, and were
spontaneous unlike Egypt the uprisings began in the capital city with
preparation. The effect of the military on the beginning of the Syria
uprising was more devastating than any other experienced, which is
why no one could have predicated this uprising. After a demonstration
march on March 15th, three days later, ten schoolchildren
aged fifteen or younger from the provincial city of Daraa. The boys
where arrested for writing “Down with the regime (nizam)” on a
wall. While imprisoned these boys experienced brutal treatment;
torture. This author does not make it clear if these boy survived the
torture or not. Protestors were found taking the street of Damascus
for over two weeks, demanding their releases. After two weeks the
government had enough and open fired on protesters, killing several.
The next day, after the death of several protesters over twenty
thousand demonstrators rallied at their funeral procession and
chanted anti-government slogans and attacked government buildings.
The same day, protest broke out in the north of Syria. In Banias,
protesters were considered about the regime crack down on female
school teachers who whore the niqab;
Syrian veil, and national issues like the brutality and corruption of
the regime. Soon the protests spread through-out other cities like
Latakia, Homs, Hasaka, and Qamishli, reaching areas outside Damascus
as well. Gelvin explains two features that marked the uprising in
Syria. The first, has been the extraordinary bravery of those Syrians
who chose to join it in the face of a government that has shown them
no mercy. The second, has been the resilience of a regime that always
seemed one or two steps behind the protestors(109). The regime
believes it can manipulate sectarianism along with kinship, to lock
minorities and the regime in a mutually supportive embrace(110).
Gelvin also notes, due to the effective coup-proofing in Syria,
analysts were blindsided by the outbreak of the uprising (111). Due
to Syria's interest from outside states and countries, there have
been attempts to bring peace between the opposition faced in Syria
between the regime and citizens. Gelvin notes, no internal actor
really wants to face the risk of an unstable or fragmented Syria such
as might follow the collapse of the regime by the Syrian Muslim
Brotherhood (115). Regional states also have a stake in a stable, if
autocratic, Syria. From this uprising Syria faces a stability issue,
but as expressed by the author, isn’t necessarily bad.
Looking back at previous revolutions the author notes the time
needed in telling the full outcomes from these uprisings in the Arab
world. It has taken decades for others who have faced revolutions, to
recover and settle. Although, for some not even a year has passed and
others several years have went by, there are traces of problems these
states face. Once again it is to early to tell, but one thing that is
clear, is change. Something that has been needed desperately in this
area.
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